National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionUS PoliticsGéopolitique2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.5%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète10 sept. 25, 05:20 UTC10 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?
KalshiWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketJapanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, between the start of in‑person early voting and the close of polls on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, any U.S. state or territory officially deploys National Guard personnel to be physically present at one or more polling places where voters cast ballots (including early‑vote centers) to assist or provide security (e.g., setup, crowd/traffic control, administrative help, visible security), whether in uniform or civilian clothes.
- Acceptable proof: an official announcement from a state National Guard/governor/secretary of state, a National Guard Bureau news post, or two independent reputable news reports citing officials.
- Examples of acceptable source hubs for verification: National Guard Bureau newsroom, state Guard newsrooms, and state election officials’ sites.
- (nationalguard.mil)
- Resolves NO if no such physical deployment at polling places is documented.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? doit être résolu le 10 novembre 2026.
- Comment National Guard deployed at polling places in 2026 midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria