Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 25, 11:38 UTC31 déc. 30, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Nintendo Switch outsell the Sony PlayStation 2?
Manifold MarketsWhich specific games from other platforms will be announced for Nintendo Switch 2 before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these series will EVER have games on Nintendo Switch 2?
Manifold MarketsHow many units in total will the Nintendo Switch 2 have sold by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
The Nintendo Switch has been a massive commercial success, according to Wikipedia, selling 146 million units since its 2017 release (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_game_consoles/ https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html).
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the total worldwide sales of the Nintendo Switch 2 exceed the total worldwide sales of the original Nintendo Switch by December 31, 2030.
- Resolution will be based on official sales figures reported by Nintendo or reliable industry sources.
- Considerations (AI Generated)
- The Switch 2's success will depend on various factors, including:
