Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.9%
Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
20 juin 23, 20:10 UTC5 janv. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich new Senators will vote as left wing as Elizabeth Warren in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.
- Resolve N/A if there is a general disagreement about him/her being left-wing or not.
- Resolve no otherwise.
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a candidate wins whose left-wing status is disputed (e.g. PS), and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.