Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:13 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
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Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard9 avr. 24, 12:54 UTC1 janv. 28, 21:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will France’s next aircraft carrier be named after?
Manifold MarketsThe USA loses an aircraft carrier anytime til EOY 2028
Manifold MarketsWill China commission a fourth conventional aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketRègles
From Wikipedia: "In December 2020, President Macron announced that construction of the next generation carrier would begin in around 2025 with sea trials to start in about 2036."
- I will periodically check out if construction has begun and under which name.
- The resolution of the question will rely on media announcements confirming the start of construction under a specific name.
- If a name is not mentioned or if construction does not start before 2028 the question resolves N/A.
