Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffCriminalité et justice1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.3%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 déc. 24, 22:09 UTC2 janv. 28, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The mayors of San Diego and Los Angeles operate under California state law, particularly the California Values Act (Senate Bill 54), which restricts state and local law enforcement agencies from using resources for immigration enforcement.
- Recent disputes in San Diego involve the county's policy to limit cooperation with ICE, though this primarily involves the County Board of Supervisors and Sheriff's Department rather than the mayor directly.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if either the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles is formally charged with a federal crime specifically related to interfering with Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) operations before January 1, 2028.
- The charge must be directly related to actions taken in their official capacity regarding ICE operations.
- The market will resolve NO if neither mayor is charged with such a federal crime before 2028.
