Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?
One-OffUS PoliticsRégulationTrade Policy2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 58.7%
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26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
27 sept. 24, 20:37 UTC22 janv. 29, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Jones Act be repealed?
KalshiWill the Jones Act be repealed before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Jones Act be amended or repealed to ease restrictions on cabotage within the US by 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill at least part of the Americans with Disabilities Act be repealed or abolished by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsJones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by December 31?
PolymarketWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
KalshiRègles
The Jones Act requires that cabotage within the US happen on US-built and US-flagged vessels.
- Will it be repealed or significantly loosened with respect to this provision by 2028-01-21?
- At a minimum, this requires a process by which a non-US-built vessel could transport goods directly between US ports.
- I will not trade on this question until there has been time to clarify resolution criteria.
- Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A waiver alone is not sufficient for YES resolution, as the question requires a change to the law itself.
- However, a broad 'temporary' waiver that never ends could qualify as a functional repeal even if the law remains on the books.