Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94.3%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 oct. 22, 22:49 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `8G8D07CxdVzqkPLBcY3L` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Marchés ouverts
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume total
- 103,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 996,1 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 94% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve if any of the following are true: