Will the global financial/economic system experience a shock like 2008 in the next 15 years?
One-OffMacro et économieÉconomie11a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 82.4%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète11 sept. 23, 01:06 UTC11 sept. 38, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Its hard to quantify this exactly.
- At least according to this article the (mid-term) damage in global economic growth was about 2 trillion USD (https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/a-guide-to-the-financial-crisis--10-years-later/2018/09/10/114b76ba-af10-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html).
- Anything reasonable near that number counts.
- If you have better ideas to measure this, comment below.
