Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death?
One-OffPolitiqueGéopolitique
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 55.4%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 mai 24, 03:54 UTC2 janv. 50, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.
- He runs the country completely on his own, does not have a clear second-in-command, and does not have a clear successor in place.
- If, after 5 years of his death, the PFDJ (ruling party) has lost power over the Eritrean government, the question will resolve YES.
- Otherwise, it will resolve NO.
- Edit: I'm so stupid, I forgot the possibility of it collapsing before his death.
- In such case, the question resolves YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2050.
- Comment Will the Eritrean government collapse before or within 5 years of Isaias Afwerki's death? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Isaias Afwerki has been the dictator of Eritrea since its founding in 1993.