Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.7%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète24 déc. 25, 04:42 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:41 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will biologically generated telepathy be proven to be real by 2030?
Manifold MarketsJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
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KalshiJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by which date?
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PolymarketWill Trump release more Epstein files in Oct 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The FBI has confirmed the alleged letter from Jeffrey Epstein to Larry Nassar is fake, as of December 23, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if any credible evidence emerges that contradicts the FBI's determination and proves the letter is authentic.
- This would require either: (1) a formal reversal of the FBI's conclusion with documented evidence, or (2) independent forensic analysis from a recognized authority that definitively establishes the letter's authenticity.
- The market resolves NO if the FBI's determination stands without credible contradiction.
- A letter appearing to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein to serial sex abuser Larry Nassar, a former Michigan State University doctor, was among documents released by the U.S. Department of Justice, with the letter submitted by the FBI for handwriting analysis on July 31, 2020, after Epstein died in August 2019.