Will the creator of any cryptocurrency be imprisoned for creating it before 2033?
BitcoinOne-OffRégulationCryptoCriminalité et justice6a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.5%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 55 minutes
En retard11 déc. 22, 02:41 UTC1 janv. 33, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any new cryptocurrency become more popular than Bitcoin or Etherium before 2033?
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FutuurWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Inspired by https://www.fullstackeconomics.com/p/its-time-to-get-serious-about-regulating, particularly this quote:
- As I pointed out at the time, the US government’s arguments against Liberty Reserve could easily be used against Bitcoin.
- Indeed, I believe this is a big reason Satoshi Nakamoto chose to create Bitcoin using a pseudonym: If he had identified himself, he might have wound up in prison like Liberty Reserve founder Arthur Budovsky.
- Note that the rationale behind the imprisonment must simply be the creation of the cryptocurrency, not what they do with it later.
- SBF may go to prison, but it wasn't for creating FTT.
- In the event that the crimes they were charged with were something other than the creation of the cryptocurrency but it seems motivated by that, I'll resolve to PROB based on how much of the true reason for the government's focus on them seems to be the creation of the currency.
