Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 94%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 25, 17:12 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lionel Messi publicly claim Lamine Yamal is his son by end of Dec 31, 2026? (jokes count)
Manifold MarketsWill the new Washington Bridge in Rhode Island be completed on time?
Manifold Markets2027 Steel Bridge National Champion
KalshiWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
KalshiRègles
The 11foot8+8 is a bridge in North Carolina that is infamous for damaging trucks that pass under without noticing the signs about the low height.
- It was raised from 11'8" another 8" in 2019, but it still catches some vehicles.
- It claimed at least 3 in 2025
- Link: https://11foot8.com/
- Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norfolk_Southern%E2%80%93Gregson_Street_Overpass
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/-CmDZ-oEtB0)
Marchés ouverts
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
- Above 4.1 million94%
- Above 4.2 million91%
- Above 4.3 million-2.0pt59%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,2 k €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes-3.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 9,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 65 million pounds84%
- Above 70 million pounds66%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16 k €
- Volume 24h
- 512,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No-2.0pt73%
- Yes+2.0pt27%
- Volume total
- 21,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 324,3 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- Significant decrease+19.0pt61.3%
- No significant difference30.2%
- Significant increase-9.9pt8.5%
- Volume total
- 51,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.8 million92%
- Above 1.9 million+1.0pt90%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Will Harvard University rank first overall in 2027?
- Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
- 60 minutes: Joe Rogan joins as a Correspondent this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 94% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the 11foot8+8 bridge claim three or more victims in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The 11foot8+8 is a bridge in North Carolina that is infamous for damaging trucks that pass under without noticing the signs about the low height.