Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
One-OffSociety & Culture6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 95.3%
Prévisionnistes
97
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète26 mars 24, 19:52 UTC27 mars 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a replacement bridge for Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore be opened to traffic within 10 years of destruction?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a bridge like the Francis Scott Key Bridge In Baltimore be accessible again?
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KalshiRègles
Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.
- This question will resolve if/when a replacement bridge becomes operational.
- But it will close three years after the bridge collapse, on 3/26/27.
- I'm not betting in this market.
- To make this clearer:
- If the bridge is replaced before March 26, 2027, then the market will resolve as no.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 95% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? doit être résolu le 27 mars 2027.
- Comment Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Andreessen tweeted this statement on 3/26/24.