Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026?
TechOne-Off4moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 96%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète25 août 26, 01:47 UTC12 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Règles
Tesla unveiled the two seat Cybercab (no steering wheel, no pedals) at its We, Robot event in October 2024, began building it at Giga Texas in 2026, and has announced a Cybercab launch event in Austin on September 3, 2026.
- Tesla's existing Robotaxi service, live in Austin, Dallas, Houston, Miami, Orlando and Tampa, still runs on modified Model Y vehicles, and Tesla has said Cybercab rides begin with employees before the vehicles join the public Robotaxi service.
- Roughly 100 Cybercabs have been reported staged at a Dallas robotaxi hub.
- This market asks how far the Cybercab itself actually gets into public service this year.
- Resolves YES if, at any point on or before 11:59pm US Central time on December 31, 2026, Cybercab vehicles have carried members of the general public on rides booked through Tesla's Robotaxi app on public roads in at least three distinct US metropolitan areas.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 12 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Tesla's Cybercab be carrying public riders in at least 3 US metro areas by December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Tesla unveiled the two seat Cybercab (no steering wheel, no pedals) at its We, Robot event in October 2024, began building it at Giga Texas in 2026, and has announced a Cybercab launch event in Austin on September 3, 2026.