Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.4%
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19
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète14 avr. 26, 16:25 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding ownership stakes:
- 50% or more ownership by SpaceX of Tesla qualifies as a merger/acquisition
- A small investment does not qualify
- A large but sub-50% stake would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis