Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 71%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète14 avr. 26, 16:25 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves yes if they form a single, combined company before 2028.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding ownership stakes:
- 50% or more ownership by SpaceX of Tesla qualifies as a merger/acquisition
- A small investment does not qualify
- A large but sub-50% stake would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis
