Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028?
RégulationOne-OffTrade PolicyCorporate ActionsEuropeEquitiesTechBusiness & Corporate1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.5%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 26, 14:07 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI 'Go Out of Business'...
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX acquire any major U.S. telecom business before 2028?
KalshiTemu Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiReviver, a digital license plate company, is out of business or failing in CA before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsWill any of McKinsey, BCG, or Bain rank in the top 20 of Universum’s 2026 US business/commerce student rankings?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to Yes if, before January 1, 2028, any of the following events occur:
- Whaleco Technology Limited (the Irish-registered company that operates Temu in the EU; Company Number: 723548) formally enters insolvency, liquidation, winding-up, examinership, or receivership proceedings in Ireland or any other EU member state, or is declared bankrupt/insolvent by a court of competent jurisdiction.
- PDD Holdings Inc. (the parent company of Temu, also legally registered in Ireland) files for Chapter 11, Chapter 7, or equivalent corporate bankruptcy/insolvency protection globally or in Ireland, resulting in the liquidation or insolvency of its European operating arms.
- Temu officially and permanently ceases all e-commerce operations within the European Union explicitly due to insolvency, bankruptcy, or financial liquidation.
- This market will resolve to No if none of the above conditions are met by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2027.
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria