Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 73.6%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète5 oct. 25, 02:29 UTC30 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if Takaichi Sanae, while serving as Prime Minister of Japan, makes an in-person visit to Yasukuni Shrine (Chiyoda, Tokyo) on any date during her premiership.
- Verification may come from the Prime Minister’s Office (Kantei) site/schedule or clear reports by at least two major outlets (e.g., NHK, Kyodo, Reuters, Asahi, Yomiuri, Japan Times).
- (japan.kantei.go.jp)
- Sending a ritual offering (tamagushi/masakaki), a proxy visit by an aide, or visits immediately before/after her term do NOT count.
- A “private capacity” visit counts only if later confirmed by Kantei or two major outlets with on-the-record reporting or photos.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 74% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? doit être résolu le 30 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria