Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète10 janv. 24, 12:39 UTC1 janv. 30, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will commercial space travel become a common mode of transportation for the general public by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill most self-driving cars in 2029 use LIDAR?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.
- For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.
- https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png