Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 84.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
22 févr. 26, 10:38 UTC31 déc. 00, 10:32 UTC
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Resolves Yes if Scott Alexander writes a book review of Joyce's Finnegans Wake, that is at least 20.000 characters long, No if Scott dies without having done so.
- For comparison, his review/Analysis of My Immortal is 41.000 characters long.
- If he writes about Finnegans Wake for 20.000 characters in a somewhat review like way it also counts, e.g. the discussion of Goethe's Faust in his review of My Immortal would count, if it were long enough.
