Will Sam Altman file a case against anthropic in next 3 months?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (99%)
Résolu: 9 août 2026, 14:07
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 jours
Obsolète9 mai 26, 23:269 août 26, 14:07
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Sam Altman, acting in his individual capacity or through an entity he controls, initiates formal legal action (files a lawsuit or complaint) against Anthropic PBC or its affiliates in a court of law between May 9, 2026, and August 9, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Bloomberg, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal) or official court docket entries confirming the filing of a case.
- If no such action is initiated by 11:59 PM ET on August 9, 2026, the market resolves to "NO."
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- Anthropic was founded in 2021 by former OpenAI employees, including Dario Amodei and Daniela Amodei.
