Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.4%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 23, 08:08 UTC2 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Satya Nadella (CEO of Microsoft) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become the most loved person on the planet at some point before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman be the CEO of Microsoft before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Sam Altman becomes CEO of Microsoft for any period of time by 2030.
- Resolves NO if Altman leaves before 2030, or it doesn't happen.
