Will Salesforce announce a sale to a major AI/tech company within 365 days of the first OpenAI or Anthropic listing?
Plateformes d'échangeIATechOne-OffOpérations sur titresEspaceActionsRégulation2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleFirst public listing occurs, but no qualifying acquisition announced in the window 92%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète4 oct. 26, 00:42 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market forecasts whether Salesforce, Inc. announces a definitive agreement to be acquired by one of the named companies within the window after the first of OpenAI or Anthropic becomes publicly traded.
- Public-listing trigger: D is the date on which common equity in either OpenAI's or Anthropic's principal operating-company parent first begins regular public trading on NYSE or Nasdaq, through an IPO, direct listing, or completed SPAC combination.
- Use the first of the two listings.
- A renaming or corporate reorganization that preserves substantially the same core business counts.
- Filing for an IPO, announcing an IPO, private secondary trading, debt listings, or listing an unrelated investment vehicle does not count.
- The trigger must occur no later than 11:59:59pm America/New_York on December 31, 2028.
