Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBefore 2028 9.2%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète26 mars 24, 17:48 UTC2 févr. 28, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the USA abolish federal capital punishment (death penalty) by January 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 25 or more states have no death penalty at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2027, will Russia lift its death penalty moratorium and resume executions?
Manifold MarketsWill rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
After the Crocus City Hall terrorist attack in Moscow multiple Russian politicians have advocated for the return of death penalty.
- The market will resolve positively if (and when) Russia officially lifts the moratorium on the death penalty, introduced in 1996.
- It could happen via a bill passed in parliament, a decision of the Constitutional Court, or via an executive order from the president.
- The market resolves as soon as the respective document is signed and/or published, possibly before it comes into force.
- In case of an (unlikely) disagreement between the branches of the government, what counts if the executive branch is going to follow it.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
