Will Russia introduce exit visas by the end of 2026
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionGéopolitiqueRussie / UkraineEurope2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.1%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
12 juil. 26, 20:23 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, the Russian Federation officially enacts legislation or a government decree that introduces a general exit visa (or travel permit) requirement for Russian citizens seeking to travel abroad.
- To trigger a YES resolution, the requirement must:
- Apply to the general population of Russian citizens (or a broad subset, such as any citizen traveling to "unfriendly" or NATO countries).
- Require citizens to obtain prior official government permission, an exit visa, or approval before they are legally allowed to cross the border to leave Russia.
- This market will resolve to NO if:
