Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.7%
Prévisionnistes
52
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 avr. 24, 13:55 UTC8 août 52, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a female president of the US by the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsNext female president in the US age
Manifold MarketsWill China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves to whatever the president states to identify. [Meaning a trans woman would resolve to yes.]
- If Russia or the US splits up, this question will resolve according to the split with the biggest population.
- If the countries further don't have a president, I or a moderator are free to judge which position comes closest to it, and it will count as a matter for this question.
- The closing time might be extended.
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge-95d95bebfc61
