Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 93.6%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète14 juin 25, 18:27 UTC31 déc. 28, 19:20 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Papyrus appear in Deltarune?
Manifold MarketsWill Spaceballs: The New One release on April 23, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?
Manifold MarketsWhich characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?
PolymarketWhich celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Moranis appears in the initial widespread release of the upcoming sequel to Spaceballs, scheduled for 2027.
- For the purposes of this market, an appearance includes any visible on-screen newly-recorded live-action role.
- It does not include voice-over, computer generated imagery, re-use of past footage.
- It also does not include appearance in a trailer, special preview or limited release version of the film, or other alternatives to the most widely released version of the film.
- If Rick Moranis does not appear in the film, this market will resolve to "No".
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will Rick Moranis appear in Spaceballs 2? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria