Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
12 août 26, 16:29 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the House seat for Ohio's 7th congressional district (OH-7) in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
Manifold MarketsWill Martha Fierro win the Texas 29th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Tanya Lloyd win the Texas 27th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Laura Jones win the Texas 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
The new 15th district stretches from Hidalgo County in the Rio Grande Valley(including Edinburg and Weslaco), and now extends northeasterly into several rural counties between Corpus Christi, San Antonio and Victoria, including such communities as Falfurrias, Alice, Sinton, Beeville, Cuero and Gonzales.
- The incumbent is Republican Monica De La Cruz, who was re-elected with 57.1% of the vote in 2024.[18]
- In 2024 Donald Trump won with 58.5% in this district.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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- 603,2 M €
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- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
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POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Republicans win the Texas 15th congressional district in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The new 15th district stretches from Hidalgo County in the Rio Grande Valley(including Edinburg and Weslaco), and now extends northeasterly into several rural counties between Corpus Christi, San Antonio and Victoria, including such communities as Falfurrias, Alice, Sinton, Beeville, Cuero and Gonzales.