Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
One-OffPolitique13aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.4%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète13 avr. 24, 18:53 UTC1 janv. 40, 12:59 UTC
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PredictItRègles
will need to be in a nation, state, municipality etc. with over 1 Million residents
- "formally" meaning it is explicitly part of the political system for policymakers to consult prediction markets (e.g. explicit much like the political system in the US explicitly requires a certain number of votes in the senate for a law to be passed)
- e.g. a central bank deciding whether to raise or lower interest rates can, much like they use macroeconomic indicators, consult prediction markets -- and are explicitly allowed to do so
- It cannot be a pilot program / small-scale test
