Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 78%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète17 févr. 26, 02:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Polymarket get investigated by the CFTC again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992
- Resolves when they are either accepted or rejected as an applicant.
- No time limit
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume total
- 12,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 90,5 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 877 k €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will PMEX Markets be approved as a DCM by the CFTC? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : See my tweet: https://x.com/realTomBayes/status/2023570876164120992