Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.4%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 16:34 UTC31 déc. 26, 16:33 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[PROP BETS] New US-Iran Peace Talks
Manifold MarketsIf the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
Manifold MarketsWho Will Lead The Senate after 2026 US Elections?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC regulate cryptocurrency spot markets by the end of 2026?
FutuurClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 182,3 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt40%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-5.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-16.0pt33%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.4%
+5 résultats de plus
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/cftc-weighs-outright-ban-for-derivatives-bets-on-us-elections