Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.8%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète21 oct. 26, 11:53 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if there is credible legacy media reporting that CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell' abuse leads to the death of at least two people.
- Examples: A hospital is hacked and life support systems are shut down.
- Industrial equipment is breached, causing an explosion that kills workers
- Weapons system breached, leading to a munitions explosion causing loss of life.
- Basically, if a legacy media org reports this exploit causes two people to die, this market resolves YES.
