Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète14 janv. 26, 14:29 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Hegseth next be noticably drunk in public as Secretary of Defense?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- Pete Hegseth is the 29th United States Secretary of Defense since 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Hegseth is impeached by the House of Representatives by December 31, 2027.
- Impeachment requires a simple majority vote in the House.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records and news reports from major outlets confirming passage of articles of impeachment.
- Rep. Shri Thanedar (D-Mich.) introduced articles of impeachment accusing Hegseth of "Murder and Conspiracy to Murder and Reckless and Unlawful Mishandling of Classified Information." The charges relate to military strikes against an alleged narco-boat off the Venezuelan coast on September 2, followed by a second strike that killed survivors of the initial attack, and Hegseth's sharing of real-time information on American troops' movements in a group chat that included The Atlantic's editor-in-chief, discussing strikes on Houthi targets in Yemen.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria