Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (98.4%)
Résolu: 7 oct. 2026, 19:38
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 8 oct. 2026, 09:36 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes1.6%
No98.4%
Gagné
Perdu
Règles
OpenAI shipped 'Spud' in late April 2026.
- Whether Spud was branded as GPT-5.5 or GPT-6 has been the subject of intense debate.
- This market asks specifically about a public release of a model carrying the GPT-6 name.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 23:59 UTC August 31, 2026, OpenAI publicly releases ANY model officially named 'GPT-6' or 'gpt-6' (any suffix variant: turbo, mini, o, etc.) — meaning the model is available to at least one of: ChatGPT Plus/Team/Enterprise subscribers, the Responses API, or Chat Completions API.
- RESOLVES NO if no model named GPT-6 is publicly released by the deadline.
- A model named 'GPT-5.5' or any other non-6 designation does NOT count, even if its capabilities equal GPT-6 expectations.
