Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
Corporate ActionsIAOne-OffBusiness & Corporate3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.3%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 00:08 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if OpenAI experiences significant financial problems during 2026, defined as any of the following:
- The company goes bankrupt or faces imminent bankruptcy risk requiring emergency intervention
- Significant inability to meet contractual obligations to infrastructure partners
- Company admits significantly lower financial milestones moving forward
- Forced restructuring of major compute commitments or partnerships due to financial constraints
- Significant decrease in valuation or delay of planned IPO/exit due to financial turbulence
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
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- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
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- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
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- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if OpenAI experiences significant financial problems during 2026, defined as any of the following: