Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
One-OffCorporate Actions1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleEpoch Times 91.9%En tête parmi 25 options
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète2 mars 24, 15:42 UTC1 janv. 28, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsTrump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?
PolymarketWill SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRègles
The resolution criteria are a bit fuzzy here.
- Really I'm looking to media companies that are dying, but many recent examples haven't died suddenly, but rather rapidly downsized or restructured such that 50-90% or more of their traditional operations disappear or radically change.
- That's approximately the scale of restructuring/downsizing that would trigger a "YES" resolution for me.
- Recent examples that would resolve yes include Vice, Buzzfeed News, Jezebel, and Sports Illustrated.
- If the outlet is revived after closing (as was the case for Jezebel) it will still resolve "YES."
- I might come add more details in the future.
Marchés ouverts
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 48,8 k €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
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- Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
- IPOs before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Epoch Times à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The resolution criteria are a bit fuzzy here.