Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 22 oct. 2026, 12:15 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55.8%
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30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard27 févr. 23, 17:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OpenAI, Google Deepmind or Anthropic de-domicile from the UK/US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Google have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
As per the OpenAI charter:
- We will actively cooperate with other research and policy institutions; we seek to create a global community working together to address AGI’s global challenges.
- Will resolve to YES if, as part of any statement issued by OpenAI or by someone who at my discretion I deem to be plausibly representing OpenAI, a cooperation agreement between OpenAI and any of Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google is announced, with the specific intention of preventing race dynamics.