Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
ExchangeIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsRégulationSpaceEquitiesTech3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.6%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète3 janv. 26, 21:26 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a government mandate restrict access to an OpenAI or xAI model on security or safety grounds before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if both OpenAI AND xAI complete initial public offerings (IPOs) and begin trading on a major U.S. stock exchange (NYSE or Nasdaq) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution is based on official SEC filings and exchange announcements.
- The market resolves NO if either company fails to complete an IPO by the deadline.
- OpenAI was reportedly planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026, though OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar said last month that a listing is "not in the near-term plan." OpenAI has been in early discussions with top law firms, including Cooley, about a potential public listing, and at least some capital could come via an initial public offering it is reportedly planning for as soon as the second half of 2026.
- For xAI, two xAI investors said a listing could occur as soon as late 2026 or the first half of 2027, though they acknowledged the timing is uncertain. xAI CEO Linda Yaccarino emphasized that it is still too early to discuss a timeline for an IPO, as xAI is only two years old.
Marchés ouverts
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- 4,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume total
- 459,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 459,8 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume total
- 123,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 384,9 k €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 161,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1 k €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 90% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria