Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 98.7%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
17 août 26, 12:34 UTC31 déc. 98, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsDid OpenAI just solve navier stokes??
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Navier-Stokes is solved by AI and NO if it is solved by a human.
- For a YES resolution, the AI is required to do most or all of the mathematical work.
- For a NO resolution, the human is allowed to use AI for purposes of literature search or proving minor lemmas but the bulk of the proof must come from the human mind.
- If, when the problem is solved, it becomes unclear whether AI or humans should get more credit, the issue shall be disputed in the comments.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 9998.
- Comment Will Navier-Stokes be solved by AI? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Navier-Stokes is solved by AI and NO if it is solved by a human.