Will Nate Silver be right about the House? [231-251 seats]
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1hManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 59.6%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
3 nov. 26, 01:07 UTC4 nov. 26, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Nate Silver be right about the Senate?
Manifold MarketsWhich Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsWill Keith Rabois win his (not actual) bet against Nate Silver?
Manifold MarketsWhat price will (Nate) Silver hit in 2026? (read desc.!)
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if Nate's prediction the day before the election of 241 seats is right plus/minus 10. 231-251 seats.
- Will resolve based on news projections.
