Will NASA be folded into the US Department of Transportation?
Opérations sur titresOne-OffPolitique américaineEspacePolitiqueÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète21 oct. 25, 02:40 UTC1 janv. 29, 02:27 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
will the US department of state issue surveillance-related travel warnings to people who visit china by EOY2028??
Manifold MarketsWill the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsUnited States v. Apple: The US Department of Justice sues Apple
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceXSI rename itself back to SpaceXAI by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be a part of the next government of Israel?
KalshiWill Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe manage to pull off a 'Unite the Right'?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Transportation secretary and acting NASA administrator Sean Duffy is pushing for NASA to be folded into the Department of Transportation (according to reports by the WSJ and Eric Berger of Ars Technica), will this happen before the end of Trump's second term?
- This market resolves YES if NASA ceases to operate as an independent agency and is formally integrated into the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) as a subordinate administration or office.
- This integration must be confirmed by official legislative action through an act of Congress, or by a Presidential Executive Order issued under specific statutory reorganization authority explicitly enabling such a merger, and widely reported by reputable news organizations.
- The market will resolve to "No" if such a formal integration has not occurred before the end of Trump's second term; or if it's sufficiently certain that it won't occur before then.
- https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/trump-nasa-administrator-conflict-b7df4877?mod=e2fb
