Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.2%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète26 avr. 26, 16:14 UTC14 janv. 27, 17:13 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsWhich Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive?
Manifold MarketsWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PolymarketOscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
Manifold MarketsGolden Globe Nominations: Best Director
KalshiGolden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if "Michael" (2026) receives any nominations at the next Academy Awards.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
Marchés ouverts
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.1pt54.5%
- Lamine Yamal+1.2pt22.8%
- Kylian Mbappé-1.1pt7.9%
+28 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 32,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 148 k €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+14.0pt33%
- TCHA+5.0pt14%
- JSMI-2.0pt11%
+28 résultats de plus
KALSHIThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-3.0pt59.5%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt13.8%
- Phantom Blade Zero-3.0pt4.3%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- The Debut-3.0pt25.4%
- I Play Rocky+2.0pt16.4%
- La bola negra11.8%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 157,5 k €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- BTS-3.0pt53%
- Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter+20.0pt19.7%
- Ella Langley-9.0pt17.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIGolden Globe Nominations: Best Director
- Christopher Nolan100%
- Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo0%
- Martin McDonagh0%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,5 k €
- CMA Vocal Duo of the Year 2026
- Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- Game Awards: Best Mobile Game
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- Game Awards: Best Independent Game
- VMA Video of the Year 2026
- Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- CMA Vocal Group of the Year 2026
- Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 52% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations? doit être résolu le 14 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if "Michael" (2026) receives any nominations at the next Academy Awards.