Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBest Director 97.1%En tête parmi 18 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète21 juil. 26, 01:21 UTC15 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?
Manifold MarketsWill "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
PolymarketOscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
Manifold MarketsOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PolymarketRègles
For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].
- I.e., if Anne Hathaway is nominated for lead actress, then "the named outcome" does not resolve YES.
- For all non-acting categories, all that matters is the category itself.
- (The logic is that it's not very interesting to try and figure out exactly which producers will get "nominated" for the named outcome, so I won't bother with attribution, but with acting it's interesting to break exactly who gets submitted and where).
- This may close before nominations are announced.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 319,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 98 k €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 80 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 130,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3 k €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 4 M €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Best Director à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : For the Acting categories, the option resolves YES only for the exact combination of [actor] x [lead/supporting].