Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category?
PolitiqueOne-OffAwardsDivertissementÉlection5moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 mai 26, 17:28 UTC28 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Agent 007 (after "No Time To Die") to be played by an openly homosexual actor/actress?
FutuurOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
PolymarketWill "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"?
Manifold MarketsWill "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations?
Manifold MarketsWhich Oscar nominations will "The Odyssey" receive?
Manifold MarketsRègles
The Academy has announced some rule changes going into effect for the 99th Oscars award ceremony (March 14, 2027).
- For the first time, if an actor or actress is in multiple Lead or Supporting roles and places in the top 5 votes more than once, they will receive the nomination for each.
- Previously, if that person did place in the top 5 for multiple roles, only the one with the most votes would be selected as a nominee on awards night.
- For example, Robert Pattinson has roles in The Odyssey and Dune: Part 3, both releasing in 2026.
- If his roles are both considered in the same category (Lead or Supporting Actor) and both receive enough votes to reach the top 5 in that category, he will hold 2 of 5 nomination spots.
- I'll update in the comments with any possible contenders.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category? doit être résolu le 28 février 2027.
- Comment Oscars 2027: Will an actor or actress receive 2+ nominations in the same category? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Academy has announced some rule changes going into effect for the 99th Oscars award ceremony (March 14, 2027).