Will Mary Peltola withdraw from the Alaska senate race?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.7%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
29 oct. 26, 09:18 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Mary Peltola publicly announces the suspension, termination, or withdrawal of her candidacy from the 2026 Alaska U.S. Senate election, or files an official notice of withdrawal with the Alaska Division of Elections, on or before the close of polls on Election Day, November 3, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if Mary Peltola does not withdraw her candidacy by the specified deadline and remains an active candidate through Election Day.
- Notes and Edge Cases:
- Involuntary removal from the ballot or legal disqualification by a court or election authority without a formal concession or withdrawal by Peltola or her campaign will resolve to NO, unless Peltola concurrently announces that she is voluntarily stepping down from the race.
- Credible public statements from Peltola, her official campaign, or verified reporting by major news outlets (such as the Associated Press) will serve as sufficient confirmation of withdrawal.