Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiqueÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 86.2%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète10 mars 26, 19:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill Marco Rubio visit Greenland before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio ever be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Marco Rubio win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio is serving as the 72nd United States Secretary of State on December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be verified through official U.S. State Department records or announcements from the White House or Congress regarding any change in the Secretary of State position.
- The market resolves NO if Rubio has resigned, been removed, or otherwise ceased serving in this role before the end date.
- Rubio was confirmed unanimously by the U.S. Senate and took office on January 21, 2025.
- On May 1, 2025, Trump announced that Rubio would become acting national security advisor, replacing Mike Waltz, while continuing to serve as secretary of state.
Marchés ouverts
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria