Will Marco Rubio be the United States Secretary of State on 12/31/2026?
One-OffPolitique américainePolitiqueÉlection2mois
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Données au 26 oct. 2026, 06:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 92%
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23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète10 mars 26, 19:44 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Marco Rubio is serving as the 72nd United States Secretary of State on December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be verified through official U.S. State Department records or announcements from the White House or Congress regarding any change in the Secretary of State position.
- The market resolves NO if Rubio has resigned, been removed, or otherwise ceased serving in this role before the end date.
- Rubio was confirmed unanimously by the U.S. Senate and took office on January 21, 2025.
- On May 1, 2025, Trump announced that Rubio would become acting national security advisor, replacing Mike Waltz, while continuing to serve as secretary of state.
