Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.7%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète18 nov. 22, 18:05 UTC18 déc. 27, 18:04 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?
KalshiElon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
KalshiWill there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
When we raised our seed round, FTX/Alameda was our largest investor, through the FTX Future Fund regranting program (see: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0).
- Now that they're undergoing bankruptcy proceedings, will it be possible for us to repurchase our own stock?
- Specifically, they bought two SAFEs: 250k @10M postmoney, and 750k @ 15M post money; totaling 7.5% of the company if we are valued at 15m or more.
- This market resolves YES if Manifold buy back the shares; NO if someone else purchases them or the shares have not been moved in about 5 years.