Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off7moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53.7%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète26 août 25, 12:50 UTC13 avr. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves YES if Montero Lamar Hill (Lil Nas X) is convicted on at least one count filed in August 2025 from the Studio City incident—currently: three felony counts of battery with injury on a peace officer (Penal Code §243(c)(2)) and/or one felony count of resisting an executive officer (Penal Code §69).
- A conviction includes a guilty verdict or a guilty/no-contest plea with judgment entered.
- Convictions on lesser‑included or amended versions of these counts in the same case(s) count; convictions solely on unrelated counts added later do not.
- Verification: LA Superior Court Criminal Index and Case Summary.
- Resolves NO if these cases conclude with no conviction on any of those counts (e.g., all are dismissed, defendant is acquitted on all, or diversion is completed and charges are dismissed).
- Entry into diversion without completion does not resolve the market; resolution depends on ultimate case outcome (conviction vs. dismissal).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 54% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges? doit être résolu le 13 avril 2027.
- Comment Will Lil Nas X (Montero Lamar Hill) be convicted on any of his August 2025 charges? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Montero Lamar Hill (Lil Nas X) is convicted on at least one count filed in August 2025 from the Studio City incident—currently: three felony counts of battery with injury on a peace officer (Penal Code §243(c)(2)) and/or one felony count of resisting an executive officer (Penal Code §69).