Will Katie Hobbs win reelection for Arizona governor in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 202621j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 24 oct. 2026, 01:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 92%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 39 minutes
15 oct. 26, 07:34 UTC14 nov. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Katie Hobbs win the Arizona general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExArizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win?
KalshiArizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percent
KalshiMaricopa County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
KalshiPima County, Arizona: Katie Hobbs vote percent
KalshiArizona Governor Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Katie Hobbs wins the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election and is declared the winner by major news networks (e.g., Associated Press) or certified by the official state canvass.
- This market resolves to NO if another candidate wins the general election, or if Hobbs fails to secure reelection for any reason (including losing the general election or withdrawing).
- Official election canvass and results can be tracked via the Arizona Secretary of State.
- Katie Hobbs was elected as the 23rd Governor of Arizona in 2022.
- The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election takes place on November 3, 2026, where Hobbs is running for a second term as the Democratic nominee.