KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 48% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 48% 97%En tête parmi 10 options
At least 48% 97%Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
3,6 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 48%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
19 sept. 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 48%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Wayne County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiDane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
KalshiOakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
KalshiBexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
KalshiLos Angeles County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
KalshiOrange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
KalshiRègles
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds of voting occur (e.g., ranked choice voting), the percentage is based on the specified round or the first round if not specified.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 48%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 56%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 60%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 62%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 62% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 64%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 66%
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maricopa County, Arizona is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
