Will John Hopkins' nine-week trial of lithium for Alzheimer's take more than four years?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 26, 07:17 UTC10 avr. 30, 07:16 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Labour wins the 2024 UK general election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
Manifold MarketsHow much money from Project Stargate will actually get invested within four years?
Manifold MarketsWill all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRègles
https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07459959?cond=Alzheimer%27s%20Disease&intr=lithium&viewType=Table&rank=1#study-plan
- 40 patients will be randomized in a double-blind manner to receive lithium orotate or placebo for 9 weeks.
- Study Start (Estimated)
- Primary Completion (Estimated)
- Study Completion (Estimated)
- Market will conclude four years from now, or when we see the study in press (not just pre-print).
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 497,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5 k €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 676 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 k €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume total
- 577,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will John Hopkins' nine-week trial of lithium for Alzheimer's take more than four years? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will John Hopkins' nine-week trial of lithium for Alzheimer's take more than four years? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will John Hopkins' nine-week trial of lithium for Alzheimer's take more than four years? doit être résolu le 10 avril 2030.
- Comment Will John Hopkins' nine-week trial of lithium for Alzheimer's take more than four years? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT07459959?cond=Alzheimer%27s%20Disease&intr=lithium&viewType=Table&rank=1#study-plan